Management Report
Outlook
Future Markets This forecast takes account of all events known at the time the annual financial statements were prepared that could influence our operating performance in 2008 and beyond. Significant risks are discussed in the Risk Report. As in the past, we will do our utmost to achieve and – if possible – exceed our targets.
FUTURE MARKETS
As an international company, we offer our products and services in more than 100 countries. We expect that the consolidation process among competitors in our markets in Europe, Asia-Pacific and Latin America will continue. We therefore assume generally that there will be opportunities for Fresenius to penetrate new markets both by expanding its regional presence and by extending its product portfolio. In the United States, since Fresenius Medical Care and its competitor DaVita already have a share of about two-thirds of the market, acquisitions are likely to be fairly small, potential antitrust restrictions are an additional factor. New markets will open up for Fresenius as it successively rolls out its existing product portfolio in other regions.
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
The forecasts for 2008 paint a favorable picture for the global economic outlook. Growth is expected to slow but not drastically. This scenario depends on the central banks and the big financial institutions keeping the negative spillover from the financial crisis involving banks’ liquidity within limits. There is still the risk that the turbulence on the financial markets will grow again and that the risk premiums in all segments of the credit market will increase more than temporarily. Global GDP growth of 4.6% is estimated for 2008. Growth will slow most of all in the developed countries. The emerging economies, especially in Asia, will increasingly assume the role of locomotive for the world economy. Commodity prices will remain at a high level in 2008. The US dollar’s weakness against the euro is not expected to change significantly.
- Europe
Economic growth in the Eurozone will probably slow from 2.6% to 1.6% in 2008 as a result of a weaker world economy and a firmer euro. Despite these burdens thanks to an upturn in private consumption growth is unlikely to halt. This growth hinges on a further fall in unemployment, rising incomes and tax cuts, for instance in France. If the euro continues to firm against the US dollar, this outcome would probably be an additional burden for the industry in the Eurozone and especially for Germany with its strong export bias.
In Germany, GDP should grow by 1.7%, driven mainly by exports and investment. However, private consumption, should pick up again. A positive development in the labor market and pay increases should boost households’ real disposable incomes. Since there will not be the negative effect of a VAT increase in 2008, private consumption should be responsible for about half of the economic growth in 2008. - United States
GDP growth in the United States should be around 1.6% in 2008, which is below the growth of 2.2% in 2007. Observers expect the property crisis in the United States to continue in 2008. This will affect the property market insofar as there will be a wave of rate adjustments, especially in subprime mortgages.






